Shut Up And Buy These 5 Smart Stocks And You'll Thank Me In A Year 😉😂🥳

A Quick History Lesson About “Fundamentally Justified Luck” The first of the “Shut up and buy something smart and you’ll thank me in a year series came on April 7th, 2025 (back on Dividend Kings) when I saw the following chart on Monday, April 7th, when the VIX hit 60. which was actually inspired by Josh Brown (CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management), who said: “When the VIX hits 50, shut up and buy something smart, don’t be cute”. Source: CBOE I saw this chart on April 7th in the morning, remembered what Josh Brown had said just days before, and it clicked in my head. “VIX 60 = 40% historical rally in 12 months. Headlines be darned, unless the world ends in 12 months buyers today will feel like geniuses and if the world ends, we’ll be too dead to care😉 No one can time the market bottoms; if they appear to be so, it’s because of luck…or what I like to call “fundamentally justified luck” 😉 But I nailed the bear market bottom to the day (-20.8% peak intra-day decline), and that was luck sanctified by high probability fundamentals. And so, a year later, during the Iran war correction (-9.8% peak intra-day decline is close enough), I wrote the following. 10 Reasons To "Shut Up And Buy something Smart...You'll Thank Me In A Year "😉 Source: Ycharts The Rally Continued In the March 30th article, I pointed out the Nasdaq had 55% justified return potential within a year. And even with the recent tech sell-off, we’re +28% out of that 55%. OK, so I’m back for a 3rd round of “Shut up and buy something smart” because I just saw 2 charts last night that are “slap you in the face” obvious. I am NOT saying “Friday, June 26th is the bottom of the tech sell off” I am saying “Buy the hyperscalers now and in 12 months the fundamentals, statistics, and history say you could benefit from 100% justified return potential. Not a prediction of 100% gains, just pointing out that, in this article, I’ll walk you through why a 100% gain in the hyperscalers in the next 12 months would be 100% justified by fundamentals. So if it happens, it will NOT be a bubble but will be completely justified by earnings growth and a return to market-determined, objective historical fair value multiples. So let me walk you through my “Hot take” claims that 12 months from now, everyone and their grandmother is LIKELY to be saying “OMG in hindsight it was SO OBVIOUS that the hyperscalers were a screaming buy!” Not just in hindsight, friends, in real time! So let me show you the math and charts to prove it😉😂🥳 Bad news and MSFT is way up…this is what bottom price action looks like. Not a forecast that this is the bottom, but if it is? Well, that’s why this report is coming out on Friday😉 Why Tech Is Selling Off So Hard… Source: Ycharts This explains why stock markets like South Korea’s doubled this year, and certain chip stocks went vertical (partially), BUT there’s a catch… Source: DailyChartBook The recent weakness in Tech has some very smart people making parallels to the tech crash. Source: DailyChartBook But let me explain why the scary parallels are NOT true; they are a mirage, and these kinds of charts are cherry-picking pattern-matching. In the age of AI, you can analyze all the data of history and find parallels between any scary time period and the modern day. So let me explain why this is almost certainly (97% confidence) NOT the start of a prolonged bear market in tech (and the broader market). The 2000 tech crash lasted 37 months of stock declines. The longest period of falling stocks in history (the Great Depression Crash of -88% was 34 months. The S&P fell 50% and, the Nasdaq 82%, and some tech blue-chips like Amazon 93%. THAT is why charts like this are so dramatic. If you lived through the tech crash (I did) it was a traumatic, visceral experience, and ANY thing that reminds us of that crash gives us investor PTSD😉 Relax, Friends, Breath, This is NOT The Tech Bubb