Walk into any trading room this week and ask about (CRM). You will hear a confident answer. The franchise is broken. Per-seat pricing is dying. AI is going to eat enterprise software the way streaming ate cable. Starboard already exited. Citi cut the target. The price now sits roughly 24% below its 200-day moving average.
The verdict is in, and the company has not even taken the stand.
This is the part where I should disagree quietly and move on. Instead, I want to lay the evidence next to the indictment, side by side, and let you decide which one is harder to argue with. Because what I see when I open the cash flow statement is not a dying franchise. I see a company that just generated $14.4 billion in trailing free cash flow on $41.5 billion of revenue, beat consensus EPS by 25% in its last print, raised the dividend for the second time in two years, authorized a fresh $25 billion buyback, and now plans to spend $300 million this year with Anthropic on the very coding tools supposedly threatening its existence.
Read in sequence, those moves push directly against the indictment, in a way that resembles a prosecution star witness sabotaging the prosecution's own case.
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