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    VVICI
    OO
    BBTI
    Dividend InvestingIncome Investing

    Realty Income and VICI Pay Nearly 18% of My Dividend Income. Can They Grow It?

    Realty Income and VICI Pay Nearly 18% of My Dividend Income. Can They Grow It?
    • Realty Income and VICI supply ~17.6% of my dividend income, yield coverage intact but dividend growth well below my 6.5% income-growth target - retain both, add to neither
    • Realty Income - 2026 AFFO guidance $4.44-$4.45, annualized dividend $3.258, payout ~73% of AFFO, Q2 AFFO $1.09 up 3.8%, 676th consecutive monthly dividend
    • Valuation and portfolio fit - O ~12.5x guided AFFO, VICI ~9.4x; O already exceeds my 7% single-name sleeve cap, VICI at target size - no further purchases
    • VICI concentration and credit risk - Caesars + MGM ~70% of contractual rent, Las Vegas Strip ~49% of lease revenue; credit-loss allowance rose $271.1M, $80.7M dev loan non-accrual
    • Actionable monitor - watch per-share dividend growth vs AFFO, O H1 AFFO +5.2% vs dividend +1.2%; need sustained ~6.5% raises for income goal or rotate capital to higher-growth income names
    Oct 23, 202610:31 AM ET190

    Both dividends look well covered. Why I'm keeping both REITs, adding to neither, and what their slow raises demand from the rest of my income sleeve.

    DGTR Series, Article 3 | Glenn Ford, GNG Research | Research dated October 22, 2026, before either company's Q3 results. Prices and the 10-year Treasury yield are October 19 closes and observations: O $55.51, VICI $23.10, 10-year 5.15%. Portfolio weights come from the October 1 snapshot; income shares are Article 2's early-October estimates. Unrealized-loss estimates were supplied with the October 1 snapshot and haven't been refreshed.

    Realty Income (O) raised its 2026 AFFO guidance to $4.44-$4.45 a share in August, and on October 13 it declared its 676th consecutive monthly dividend. VICI Properties (VICI) grew second-quarter AFFO per share 4.6% and raised its quarterly dividend in September.

    VICI is still red in my Balanced IRA. O sits about 3% above my cost and VICI about 16%, before dividends.

    "Covered dividend, lower price, add more" is the easy read, and I don't trust it.

    Can two REITs that pay 17.6% of my dividend-stock income grow that income anywhere near 6.5% a year?

    That 6.5% is the income-growth objective I set in Article 1 for the individual dividend-stock sleeve of my Balanced IRA. O is about 3.4% of the IRA and VICI about 1.9%, so inside the roughly 42% sleeve they hold about 12.6% of the capital. On Article 2's income map they supply an estimated 17.6% of its dividends.

    Those are early-October estimates from the last income map, not a fresh account export, but they're good enough to show the problem, which is that neither company is currently raising its dividend anywhere close to 6.5%.

    Let me tell you where this lands before I show the work. I'm keeping both, and I'm not adding to either. O is already above my sizing reference, and VICI has reached the size I was building toward.

    Question

    Realty Income (O)

    VICI Properties (VICI)

    Is the dividend covered?

    Covered on current guidance, about 73% of 2026 AFFO

    Covered on current guidance, about 75% of 2026 AFFO

    Is the price attractive on its own?

    Roughly fair at 12.5x guided AFFO

    Inexpensive at 9.4x guided AFFO

    Does more of it fit my sleeve?

    No, it already exceeds my 7% single-name reference

    No, it's at my target size and tenant credit is unsettled

    My judgment

    Retain, no addition, review size

    Hold at target, no further additions

    Those rows answer different questions, and that's the lesson I'd want you to take even if you own neither stock. Coverage tells me whether the dividend is likely to keep arriving. Valuation tells me what the stock might return from today's price, and portfolio fit tells me whether one more dollar makes the whole plan stronger or weaker.

    A stock can pass the first two tests and still fail the third.

    VICI is the clearer example. On its own it looks like the better buy, and I'd understand anyone who reaches that conclusion. I've still stopped adding to it, because in my portfolio the next dollar has to help both the income I collect now and the growth I need later.

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