Skip to main content
    AARESMMFICLLENDDFHAARCCMMRPIncome InvestingDividend InvestingBusiness Development CompaniesNatural Gas

    3 Stocks, 12 Paychecks: The Income Machines I Like Most Right Now

    3 Stocks, 12 Paychecks: The Income Machines I Like Most Right Now

    Key takeaways

    • Income investing targets the cash engine, not the headline yield - ask what produces cash, the honest coverage metric, and what specific risk would stop the payout
    • ARCC is the largest BDC, runs ~1.06x net leverage and a 9.5% portfolio yield at cost - the lending spread after debt and fees drives ROE and dividend sustainability
    • Funding edge - ARCC is highest-rated in the sector, issued $750m 7-year notes at +185bps and launched BDC commercial paper cutting borrowing costs by ~70bps
    • Q3 core EPS $0.46 vs $0.48 dividend, a $0.02 quarterly gap; $983m spillover ($1.37/sh, ~17x annual $0.08 gap), $1.1bn closed early Q4 and ~$2.5bn backlog
    • Credit and valuation look constructive - non-accruals 2.4% of cost (1.4% FV), LTV ~47%, interest coverage 2.0x; trades $18.50 for 10.4% yield, 0.96x NAV ($19.31), ~9.3x 2027 EPS
    Nov 3, 20268:52 AM ET60

    Introduction

    What does your income actually run on?

    I don't mean the yield. The yield is just the number on the screen. I mean the engine underneath it. The thing that has to keep working so that a check lands in your account every quarter.

    After all, there's no guaranteed income on Wall Street, even if it sometimes feels that way.

    As many of you know, I don't think income investing belongs to one age group. A 30-year-old reinvesting dividends and a 70-year-old spending them are running the same strategy at different speeds. What matters is knowing what you own, how it makes money, and what could make it stop.

    In this article, I'll walk you through three of my favorite income stocks right now: Ares Capital (ARCC), Millrose Properties (MRP), and WhiteHawk Minerals (WHK). Two of them reported earnings last week. One reports on November 12.

    Each runs on a completely different business model, which is exactly why I like them together. I'll take you under the hood of each one, explain what makes it special, cover the latest numbers, and show you how to combine all three into something that pays you every single month.

    So, let's dive in!

    Every Dividend Has An Engine

    Most income investors judge a dividend with one number: the payout ratio.

    I'm not talking about you, but investors in general.

    There's just one problem. The payout ratio means something different for every type of company. That's what makes it so tricky.

    A BDC (business development company, a vehicle that lends to mid-sized private businesses) has to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to keep its tax status. So does a REIT. A mineral company chooses how much it pays. A 100% payout ratio is perfectly normal for the first two and could be alarming for the third.

    So instead of asking "what's the payout ratio?", I ask three questions:

    1. What is the engine that produces the cash?

    2. What is the honest number that tells me whether the dividend is covered?

    3. What would actually kill the dividend?

    Here's how that looks for our three names.

    Image

    Keep that last row in mind. We'll come back to it.

    Keep Reading

    Create a free account to access more content.

    Sign in to leave a comment and join the discussion.

    Sign Up Free