Duolingo Inc (DUOL)
Official siteTECHNOLOGY • SOFTWARE - APPLICATION • NASDAQ
Market Cap: $6.54B
Last updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET
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Why I’ll Buy Duolingo Once the Tape Stops Bleeding
Quality-sentiment divergence creates opportunity: Quality Score 90/100 vs Sentiment Score 1/100 represents extreme disconnect between business fundamentals and market pricing Cash generation is now material: $348M trailing FCF on $964M revenue equals 36% FCF margin with 72% gross margins...
Government Contracts
Federal contract obligations are bookings recorded by the awarding agency, not recognized revenue. They can exceed 100% of revenue and can be negative when contracts are de-obligated. Source: USAspending.gov prime awards, data through Jul 31, 2026.
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DUOL Valuation and Fair Value
- P/E
- 43.3x
- Forward P/E
- 19.0x
- EV/EBITDA
- 34.2x
- P/FCF
- 17.3x
- P/B
- 4.9x
DUOL Profitability: Margins, ROIC and FCF
- Gross margin
- 72.7%
- Operating margin
- 11.7%
- Net margin
- 35.9%
- ROE
- 34.4%
- FCF margin
- 35.1%
- FCF yield
- 5.8%
DUOL Competitors
Sector: Technology
DUOL Analyst Ratings
- Consensus
- Hold
- Analysts
- 24
- Strong Buy
- 2
- Buy
- 4
- Hold
- 16
- Sell
- 1
- Strong Sell
- 1
DUOL Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull case
- DUOL converts 35.1% of revenue into free cash flow.
- DUOL has a 35.9% net profit margin.
- DUOL beat EPS estimates in 87.5% of its last 8 reported quarters.
Bear case
- DUOL trades at 43.3x trailing earnings.
DUOL Earnings: Beat Rate and Next Report
- Beat rate
- 7 of 8 quarters (87.5%)
- Average surprise
- 37.2%
- EPS estimate (fiscal period ending Sep 30, 2026)
- $1.58
- Estimate revisions (30 days, fiscal period ending Sep 30, 2026)
- 3 up, 0 down
Frequently Asked Questions About DUOL
Does DUOL pay dividends?
Duolingo Inc (DUOL) does not currently pay a regular dividend.
What is DUOL's P/E ratio?
Duolingo Inc has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43.29.
What is DUOL's market cap?
Duolingo Inc (DUOL) has a market capitalization of $6.54B with a current stock price of $148.93.
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