Skip to main content
    G

    Geo Group Inc (GEO)

    Official site

    INDUSTRIALS • SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES • NYSE

    $29.34
    -1.47 (-4.77%)

    Market Cap: $3.77B

    Last updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

    Earnings

    Performance (10Y)

    Beat Rate
    74%(29/39)
    Avg Surprise
    +11.59%
    Streak
    5 Q

    Upcoming Estimates

    Period ending Sep 30, 2026
    EPS Consensus$0.34
    Range$0.32 - $0.36
    4 analysts
    EPS Revisions
    4
    0
    7d
    4
    0
    30d
    EPS Estimate DriftChange to current
    90d ago$0.30+13.1%
    60d ago$0.34+3.0%
    30d ago$0.340.0%
    7d ago$0.340.0%
    Current$0.34
    Revenue Consensus
    $773M
    Range$758M - $783M
    4 analysts
    Period ending Dec 31, 2026
    EPS Consensus$0.48
    Range$0.47 - $0.48
    4 analysts
    Revenue Consensus
    $812M
    Range$791M - $823M
    4 analysts
    PeriodReportedEst.SurpriseB/MYoY
    Dec 26EST
    		-$0.48---
    Sep 26EST
    		-$0.34---
    Jun 26
    Reported Aug 6
    		$0.37$0.28+32.14%Beat+68.2%
    Mar 26
    Reported May 6
    		$0.29$0.20+45.00%Beat+107.1%
    Dec 25
    Reported Feb 12
    		$0.25$0.25+0.00%Beat+92.3%
    Sep 25
    Reported Nov 6
    		$0.25$0.23+8.70%Beat+19.0%
    Jun 25
    Reported Aug 6
    		$0.22$0.16+37.50%Beat-4.3%
    Mar 25
    Reported May 7
    		$0.14$0.19-26.32%Miss-22.2%
    Dec 24
    Reported Feb 27
    		$0.13$0.23-43.48%Miss-55.2%
    Sep 24
    Reported Nov 7
    		$0.21$0.24-12.50%Miss+10.5%
    Jun 24
    Reported Aug 7
    		$0.23$0.26-11.54%Miss-4.2%
    Mar 24
    Reported May 7
    		$0.18$0.20-10.00%Miss-18.2%
    Dec 23
    Reported Feb 15
    		$0.29$0.18+61.11%Beat+3.6%
    Sep 23
    Reported Nov 7
    		$0.19$0.19+0.00%Beat-42.4%
    Jun 23
    Reported Aug 9
    		$0.24$0.20+20.00%Beat-42.9%
    Mar 23
    Reported Apr 25
    		$0.22$0.22+0.00%Beat-29.0%
    Dec 22
    Reported Feb 14
    		$0.28$0.26+7.69%Beat-26.3%
    Sep 22
    Reported Oct 27
    		$0.33$0.34-2.94%Miss-8.3%
    Jun 22
    Reported Aug 2
    		$0.42$0.31+35.48%Beat+0.0%
    Mar 22
    Reported May 3
    		$0.31$0.22+40.91%Beat+10.7%
    Dec 21
    Reported Feb 17
    		$0.38$0.20+90.00%Beat+15.2%
    Sep 21
    Reported Nov 4
    		$0.36$0.34+5.88%Beat-2.7%
    Jun 21
    Reported Aug 4
    		$0.42$0.28+50.00%Beat+16.7%
    Mar 21
    Reported May 10
    		$0.28$0.21+33.33%Beat+33.3%
    Dec 20
    Reported Feb 16
    		$0.33$0.26+26.92%Beat+3.1%
    Sep 20
    Reported Oct 29
    		$0.37$0.30+23.33%Beat-5.1%
    Jun 20
    Reported Aug 6
    		$0.36$0.22+63.64%Beat+2.9%
    Mar 20
    Reported Apr 30
    		$0.21$0.37-43.24%Miss-40.0%
    Dec 19
    Reported Feb 12
    		$0.32$0.41-21.95%Miss+14.3%
    Sep 19
    Reported Nov 5
    		$0.39$0.39+0.00%Beat+2.6%
    Jun 19
    Reported Jul 30
    		$0.35$0.36-2.78%Miss+6.1%
    Mar 19
    Reported Apr 30
    		$0.35$0.31+12.90%Beat+20.7%
    Dec 18
    Reported Feb 14
    		$0.28$0.33-15.15%Miss-26.3%
    Sep 18
    Reported Nov 7
    		$0.38$0.37+2.70%Beat+11.8%
    Jun 18
    Reported Aug 2
    		$0.33$0.33+0.00%Beat+3.1%
    Mar 18
    Reported Apr 26
    		$0.29$0.28+3.57%Beat-21.6%
    Dec 17
    Reported Feb 14
    		$0.38$0.35+8.57%Beat-7.3%
    Sep 17
    Reported Oct 31
    		$0.34$0.32+6.25%Beat-
    Jun 17
    Reported Aug 7
    		$0.32$0.31+3.23%Beat-
    Mar 17
    Reported May 2
    		$0.37$0.33+12.12%Beat-
    Dec 16
    Reported Feb 22
    		$0.41$0.37+10.81%Beat-

    Dividends

    Dividend Metrics

    Forward Yield0.00%
    Forward Annual Dividend$0.00
    Payout Ratio0.00%
    FrequencyQuarterly
    No dividend payments in the selected period.

    Key Metrics

    Valuation
    P/E Ratio25.29EV/EBITDA10.04x
    Price/FCF144.94xFCF Yield0.69%
    Profitability
    Profit Margin10.30%Operating Margin13.90%
    ROE20.10%ROIC9.22%
    Financial Health
    Debt/Equity1.06xInterest Coverage2.59x
    Current RatioN/AQuick RatioN/A
    Trading Statistics
    Beta0.77Avg Volume2.74M
    52-Week High$33.1752-Week Low$12.51

    Technical Indicators Dashboard

    Moving Averages

    SMA 10$31.03
    SMA 20$30.92
    SMA 50$31.23
    SMA 200$23.64
    EMA 10$30.86
    EMA 20$30.98
    EMA 50$30.76
    EMA 200$26.26

    MACD

    Line: -0.12Signal: -0.04Hist: -0.07

    ADX

    ADX: 11.9+DI: 16.0-DI: 25.1

    Aroon & PSAR

    Aroon Up68.0
    Aroon Down100.0
    PSAR$32.16

    Bollinger Bands

    Upper Band$32.55
    Lower Band$29.28
    %B Position1057%(Upper)
    Band Width0.02

    RSI (14-Day)

    Neutral
    41.6

    Momentum Oscillators

    Stoch %K37.6
    Stoch %D52.3
    Williams %R-95.2
    ROC (10d)-4.7%
    Momentum-1.45
    CCI (20d)-150.7
    MFI (14d)57.9

    Volatility Measures

    ATR (14d)$1.40(4.8%)
    StdDev (20d)0.82
    Hist Vol51.2%(High)

    Volume Flow

    VWAP$29.70
    OBV-26.2M
    AD Line-33.8M
    CMF (20d)-0.033

    Volume Metrics

    Avg Vol (20d)2.8M
    Vol Ratio0.7x
    VWMA (20d)$30.88

    Pivot Points

    R3$33.23
    R2$32.69
    R1$31.75
    Pivot Point$31.22
    S1$30.28
    S2$29.74
    S3$28.80

    Advanced Oscillators

    TSI-2.38
    Ultimate Osc49.4
    KST-11.97

    Financial Data

    QuarterJun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024Jun 2024Mar 2024Dec 2023Sep 2023
    Total Revenue$696.07M$668.58M$672.51M$871.20M$601.65M$564.20M$564.35M$557.88M$473.29M$556.81M$553.63M$549.51M
    Cost of RevenueN/A$589.17M$529.91M$508.88M$507.95M$453.78M$447.36M$441.92M$443.53M$441.68M$464.04M$471.84M
    Gross ProfitN/A$116.04M$177.79M$173.46M$636.17M$604.65M$607.72M$603.13M$607.18M$164.00M$608.28M$602.78M
    Operating Expenses$630.37M$615.91M$624.56M$641.64M$564.20M$543.66M$539.82M$520.75M$527.04M$526.11M$524.52M$519.20M
    R&D$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
    SG&A$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
    Operating IncomeN/A$89.30M$83.83M$40.70M$71.97M$60.98M$67.90M$82.37M$80.14M$79.56M$83.76M$83.59M
    Interest Income$3.23M$1.67M$2.06M$2.56M$2.47M$2.00M$1.15M$3.17M$1.99M$2.47M$4.01M$1.32M
    Interest Expense$38.56M$38.30M$37.94M$38.23M$41.91M$42.44M$43.19M$45.50M$50.64M$51.30M$53.21M$55.78M
    Income Before Tax$65.70M$52.67M$47.95M$229.55M$37.45M$20.54M$24.52M$37.12M$-53,753,000$30.70M$29.11M$30.32M
    Income Tax Expense$18.88M$15.03M$16.95M$56.39M$10.55M$1.83M$10.04M$11.66M$-20,379,000$8.07M$5.36M$6.52M
    Net Income$47.46M$38.31M$31.77M$173.92M$29.07M$19.54M$15.51M$26.29M$-32,563,000$22.66M$25.16M$24.50M
    EBITDA$100.78M$88.57M$83.50M$264.04M$71.81M$54.27M$57.97M$70.55M$-20,420,000$64.98M$63.17M$64.65M
    EBIT$65.70M$52.67M$47.95M$229.55M$37.45M$20.54M$24.52M$37.12M$-53,753,000$30.70M$29.11M$30.32M
    * Some calculated fields are derived from available data when not provided by source

    Related GNG Research

    No research available

    Be the first to write about GEO

    Government Contracts

    Gov Obligations (TTM)
    $1.33B
    Gov Obligations / Revenue
    48.8%
    Obligations YoY
    43.1%
    Active Awards
    128
    New Awards (TTM)
    52
    Avg Remaining Term
    24.4 mo

    Top agency: Department of Homeland Security at 79.0% of trailing twelve month obligations across 2 agencies

    Recent Awards

    Award IDAgencyObligatedStart
    70CDCR25FR0000127Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$108.34MSep 30, 2025
    70CDCR26FR0000028Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$107.74MDec 20, 2025
    70CDCR25FR0000096Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$91.86MJul 21, 2025
    70CDCR26FR0000042Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$76.85MDec 20, 2025
    70CDCR25FR0000111Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$66.89MOct 16, 2025
    70CDCR25FR0000091Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$57.52MAug 6, 2025
    15M40026FA3500002Department of JusticeU.S. Marshals Service$52.80MNov 1, 2025
    70CDCR25FR0000097Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$51.98MAug 18, 2024
    70CDCR25FR0000100Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$43.62MSep 1, 2025
    70CDCR26FR0000055Department of Homeland SecurityU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement$39.04MMar 28, 2026

    Federal contract obligations are bookings recorded by the awarding agency, not recognized revenue. They can exceed 100% of revenue and can be negative when contracts are de-obligated. Source: USAspending.gov prime awards, data through Jul 31, 2026.

    News

    Major ICE contractors shower Republican candidates with campaign cash

    Major contractors for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), The GEO Group and CoreCivic, have donated millions of dollars to Republican candidates ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. These contributions...

    Scripps News•10/15/26•Somewhat-Bullish

    The GEO Group Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

    The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is scheduled to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, November 5, 2026...

    Yahoo Finance•10/15/26•Neutral

    The GEO Group Inc (GEO) Stock Down 4.3% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 51/100

    The GEO Group Inc (GEO) stock dropped 4.3% but remains significantly overvalued according to GuruFocus's GF Value™ estimate, trading at a 58.6% premium. The company has an average GF Score™ of 51/100...

    GuruFocus•10/15/26•Bearish

    S&P upgrades GEO Group to ’BB’ following $950 million debt paydown

    S&P Global Ratings upgraded The Geo Group Inc (NYSE:GEO) to 'BB' from 'BB-' after the private prison operator announced a significant debt reduction strategy, funded by the sale of its Adelanto...

    Investing.com•10/13/26•Bullish

    GEO Group Extends $550 Million Revolver to 2031, Boosts Incremental Capacity to $750 Million

    GEO Group has amended its credit agreement, extending its $550 million revolving credit facility maturity to July 14...

    TradingView•10/8/26•Bullish

    GEO Valuation and Fair Value

    P/E
    25.3x
    Forward P/E
    19.0x
    EV/EBITDA
    10.0x
    P/FCF
    144.9x
    PEG
    1.4x
    P/B
    2.5x
    See GNG's fair value

    GEO Profitability: Margins, ROIC and FCF

    Operating margin
    13.9%
    Net margin
    10.3%
    ROIC
    9.2%
    ROE
    20.1%
    FCF margin
    0.9%
    FCF yield
    0.7%

    GEO Competitors

    CompanyTicker
    Otter Tail CorporationOTTR
    Seaboard CorporationSEB
    Brady CorporationBRC
    BW LPG LimitedBWLP
    Mirion Technologies IncMIR
    CompoSecure, Inc.CMPO
    Primoris Services CorporationPRIM
    SkyWest IncSKYW

    Sector: Industrials

    GEO Analyst Ratings

    Consensus
    Buy
    Analysts
    3
    Strong Buy
    0
    Buy
    3
    Hold
    0
    Sell
    0
    Strong Sell
    0

    GEO Bull Case vs Bear Case

    Bull case

    • GEO grew quarterly revenue 15.1% year over year.

    GEO Earnings: Beat Rate and Next Report

    Beat rate
    4 of 8 quarters (50.0%)
    Average surprise
    5.1%
    EPS estimate (fiscal period ending Sep 30, 2026)
    $0.34
    Estimate revisions (30 days, fiscal period ending Sep 30, 2026)
    4 up, 0 down

    GEO Dividend

    Forward yield
    0.0%
    Payout ratio
    0.0%

    Frequently Asked Questions About GEO

    Does GEO pay dividends?

    Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a dividend payment track record. See the GEO dividend history page for its current payment status, TTM yield, and recorded payments.

    What is GEO's P/E ratio?

    Geo Group Inc has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.29.

    What is GEO's market cap?

    Geo Group Inc (GEO) has a market capitalization of $3.77B with a current stock price of $29.34.

    Related stocks

    Sector: Industrials

    All stocks starting with G

    Get full access to GNG Research

    Create a free account to access portfolio tracking, advanced tools, and more.

    Create Free AccountLog In