Monday.Com Ltd (MNDY)
Official siteTECHNOLOGY • SOFTWARE - APPLICATION • NASDAQ
Market Cap: $4.26B
Last updated: Sep 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
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When the Market Prices a Cash Machine for Scrap (MNDY)
MNDY dropped 21% post-earnings despite beating revenue (+27%) and EPS (+15% surprise) on FY2026 guidance deceleration to 18-19% growth At $77.63, the stock trades at 7.5x EV/FCF vs peers CRM (~14x), TEAM (~20x), pricing in negative cash flow growth for 5 years $1.67B in cash and securities ($32/share) creates a hard balance sheet floor, no meaningful debt, Altman Z of 4.7 Enterprise momentum intact: $100K+ ARR customers grew 45.5% YoY, RPO up 36.6% to $839M, NDR stable at 110% Blended fair value of ~$137 implies 43% margin of safety (76% upside); staged 3-tranche entry plan with $66 invalidation Key risk: $177M in SBC (14% of revenue) creates dilution drag, and management withdrew 2027 financial targets entirely Reverse DCF shows market expects cash flows to shrink; even flat execution should generate positive returns from this entry
Why I’ll Buy Duolingo Once the Tape Stops Bleeding
Quality-sentiment divergence creates opportunity: Quality Score 90/100 vs Sentiment Score 1/100 represents extreme disconnect between business fundamentals and market pricing Cash generation is now material: $348M trailing FCF on $964M revenue equals 36% FCF margin with 72% gross margins, pristine balance sheet, and 27.6% ROIC 38% discount to fair value: Stock at $148.58 vs Vulcan BFV of $205 and Stock Rover fair value of $207.39, but trend-aware sizing required due to broken chart Prelim Q4 supports base case: DAU growth 30% YoY and bookings at high end of $329.5-335.5M guide suggest execution continues despite sentiment collapse Entry requires technical triggers: Waiting for 50DMA reclaim, Feb 26 earnings confirmation, or higher low formation before committing capital to avoid catching falling knife Staged implementation plan: 1/3 position on first trigger, scale into buy zones with max 3% portfolio allocation given 1.63 beta and 0.69 volatility profile
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Frequently Asked Questions About MNDY
- Does MNDY pay dividends?
- Monday.Com Ltd (MNDY) does not currently pay a regular dividend.
- What is MNDY's P/E ratio?
- Monday.Com Ltd has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.67.
- What is MNDY's market cap?
- Monday.Com Ltd (MNDY) has a market capitalization of $4.26B with a current stock price of $101.14.
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